Litigation – Economic Thinking In Action

Data Analytics and the Law: Putting it Together

This series on data analytics in litigation emphasized how best practices help secure reliable, valid, and defensible results based off of “Big Data.” Whether it is inter-corporate litigation, class actions, or whistleblower cases, electronic data is a source of key insights. Courts hold wide discretion in admitting statistical evidence, which is why opposing expert witnesses scrutinize or defend results so rigorously. There is generally accepted knowledge on the techniques, models, and coding languages for generating analytical results from “Big Data.” However, the underlying assumptions of a data analysis are biased. These assumptions are largest potential source of error, leading parties to confuse, generalize, or even misrepresent their results. Litigants need to be aware of and challenge such underlying assumptions, especially in their own data-driven evidence.

When it comes to big data cases, the parties and their expert witnesses should be readily prepared with continuous probing questions. Where (and on what program) are the data stored, how they are interconnected, and how “clean” they are, directly impact the final analysis. These stages can be overlooked, leading parties to miss key variables or spend additional time cleaning up fragmented data sets. When the data are available, litigants should not miss on opportunities due to lack of preparation or foresight. When data do not exist or they do not support a given assertion, a party should readily examine its next best alternative.

When the proper analysis is compiled and presented, the litigating parties must remind the court of the big picture: how the analysis directly relates to the case. Do the results prove a consistent pattern of “deviation” from a given norm? In other instances, an analysis referencing monetary values can serve as a party’s anchor for calculating damages.

In Big Data cases, the data should be used to reveal facts, rather than be molded to fit assertions.

Data Analytics and the Law: Analysis

For data-based evidence, the analysis is the heart of the content: the output of the data compiled for a case. In most instances, the analytics do not need to be complex. Indeed, powerful results can be derived by simply calculating summary statistics (mean, median, standard deviation). More complicated techniques, like regressions, time-series models, and pattern analyses, do require a background in statistics and coding languages. But even the most robust results are ineffective if an opposing witness successfully argues they are immaterial to the case. Whether simple or complex, litigants and expert witnesses should ensure an analysis is both relevant and robust against criticism.

What type of result would provide evidence of a party’s assertion? The admissibility and validity of statistical evidence varies by jurisdiction. In general, data-based evidence should be as straightforward as possible; more complex models should only be used when necessary. Superfluous analytics are distractions, leading to expert witnesses “boiling the ocean” in search of additional evidence. Additionally, courts still approach statistical techniques with some skepticism, despite their acceptance in other fields.

If more complex techniques are necessary, like regressions, litigants must be confident in their methods. For example, what kind of regression will be used? Which variables are “relevant” as inputs? What is the output, and how does it relate to a party’s assertion of fact? Parties need to link outputs, big or small, to a “therefore” moment: “the analysis gave us a result, therefore it is proof of our assertion in the following ways.” Importantly, this refocuses the judge or jury’s attention to the relevance of the output, rather than its complex derivation.

Does the analysis match the scope of the complaint or a fact in dispute? Is the certified class all employees, or just a subset of in a company? Is the location a state, or a county within a state? If the defendant is accused of committing fraud, for how many years? Generalizing from a smaller or tangential analysis is inherently risky, and an easy target for opposing witnesses. If given a choice, avoid conjecture. Do not assume that an analysis in one area, for one class, or for one time automatically applies to another.

A key component of analytical and statistical work is replicability. In fields such as finance, insurance, or large scale employment cases, the analysis of both parties should be replicable. Outside parties should be able to analyze the same data and obtain the same results. In addition, replicability can expose error, slights of hand, or outright manipulation.

Data-based evidence requires focus, clarity, and appropriate analytical techniques, otherwise an output is just another number.

Data Analytics and the Law: Cleaning Data

After acquiring and merging data, litigants will want to rush to an analysis. But raw datasets, no matter how perfectly constructed, are inevitably riddled with errors. Such errors can potentially bias or invalidate results. Data cleaning, the process which ensures a slice of data is correct, consistent, and usable, is a vital step for any data-based evidence.

There is a often quoted rule in data science which says 80% of one’s time is spent cleaning and manipulating data, while only 20% is spent actually analyzing it. Spelling mistakes, outliers, duplicates, extra spaces, missing values, the list of potential complications is near infinite. Corrections should be recorded at every stage, ideally in scripts of the program being used (ex. R, SAS, SQL, STATA); data cleaning scripts leave behind a structured, defensible record. Different types of data will require different types of cleaning, but a structured approach will produce error free analytical results.

One should start with simple observations. Look at batches of random rows, what values are stored for a given variable, and are these values consistent? Some rows may format phone numbers differently, inconsistently capitalize, or round values. How many values are null, and are there patterns in null entries? Calculate summary statistics for variables, are there obvious mistakes (ex. negative time values)? After an assessment, cleaning can begin.

Fixing structural errors is straightforward: input values with particular spellings, capitalization, split values (ex. data containing ‘N/A’ and ‘Not Available’), or formatting issues (ex. numbers stored as strings rather than integers) can be systematically reformatted. Duplicate observations, common when datasets are merged, can be easily removed.

However, data cleaning is not entirely objective. Reasonable assumptions must be made when handling irrelevant observations, outliers, and missing values. If class X or transaction type Y is excluded from litigation, its reasonable to remove their observations. However, one cannot automatically assume Z, a similar class, can be removed as well. Outliers function the same way. What legal reasoning do I have to remove this value from my dataset? Suspicious measurements are a good excuse; but, just because a value is too big or too small, that alone does not make it reasonable to remove.

Missing data is a difficult problem: how many missing or null values are acceptable for this analysis to still produce robust results? Should you ignore missing values, or should you generate values based off of similar data points? There is no easy answer. Both approaches assume missing observations are similar to the rest of the dataset. But the fact that the observations are missing data is informative in of itself. A more cautious stance, the one with the least assumptions, will inevitably be easier to defend in court.

Skipping data cleaning, and assuming perfect data, casts doubt on any final product. Data-based evidence follows the maxim “garbage in, garbage out.”

Data Analytics and the Law: Unstructured Data

Data analytics is only beginning to tap into the unstructured data which forms the bulk of everyday life. Text messages, emails, maps, audio files, PDF files, pictures, blog posts, these sources represent ‘unstructured data,’ as opposed to the structured data sources mentioned thus far. Up to 80% of all enterprise data is unstructured. So, how can a client’s text messages or recorded phone calls be analyzed like a SQL table? Unstructured data is not easily stored into pre-defined models or schema; some CRM tools (e.x. Salesforce) do store text-based fields. But typically, documents do not lend themselves to traditional queries from a database. This does not mean ‘structured’ and ‘unstructured’ data are in conflict with each other.

Document based evidence is of course, an integral part of the legal system. Lawyers and law offices now have access to comprehensive e-discovery programs, which sift through millions of documents based on keywords and terms. Selecting relevant information to prove a case is nothing new. The intersection with Data Analytics arises when hundreds of thousands or millions of text based data are analyzed as a whole, to prove an assertion in court.

Turning unstructured text into analyzable, structured data is made possible by increasingly sophisticated methods. Some machine learning algorithms, for example, analyze pictures and pick up on repeating patterns. Text mining programs scrape PDFs, websites, and social media for content, and then download the text into preassigned columns and variables. Analyses can be run, for example, on the positivity or negativity of a sentence, the frequency of certain words, or the correlation of certain phrases to one another. Natural language processing (NLP) includes speech recognition, which itself has seen significant progress in the past two decades. Analytics on unstructured data is now more useful in producing relevant evidence.

As important as the unstructured data is its corresponding Metadata: data that describes data. A text message or email contains additional information about itself: for example the author, the recipient, the time, and the length of the message. These bits of information can be stored in a structured data set, without any reference to the original content, and then analyzed. For example, a company has metadata on electronic documents at specific points in a transaction’s life-cycle; running a pattern analysis on this metadata could identify whether or not certain documents were made, altered, or destroyed after an event.

In instances of high profile fraud, such as the London Inter-bank Offered Rate (LIBOR) manipulation scandal, prolific emails and text messages between traders added a new dimension to the regulator’s cases against major banks. Overwhelming and repeated textual evidence, which can be produced through analyses on unstructured data, is yet another tool for litigating parties to prove a pattern of misconduct.

Who is Doug Berg, Ph.D.?

Doug Berg, Ph.D., is an expert in big data, and has been working with EmployStats and Principal Economist Dr. Dwight Steward for several years regarding class action and discrimination lawsuits. Dr. Berg is currently a professor at Sam Houston State University in the Department of Economics. He received his Bachelor’s degree in Accounting from the University of Minnesota, and his Ph.D. in Economics from Texas A&M University. Dr. Berg will provide additional support and his expert insight into using big data in employment litigation. Doug Berg, Ph.D., describes litigation as “living on data”, and the better the data, the better the argument. EmployStats welcomes his insight into the underlying meaning behind the data our clients provide us!

What is Big Data in Litigation?

Big data is not simply a size, it is a way of describing the type of data tools that will be utilized for an analysis. Most, if not all, of the big data we work with at EmployStats requires specific data tools that are ever changing and evolving, as well as new tools that are being introduced into the market constantly.

Each avenue will handle big data differently, and offer specific benefits that will determine how an analysis will be performed, as well as how results will be interpreted. EmployStats constantly keeps up to date with the latest and greatest data analytic software for large data sets in order to optimize the outcome of these types of analyses.

Many recent cases such as United States of America v. Abbott Laboratories and Pompliano v. Snapchat have utilized big data analysis techniques in litigation, proving that not only is it common to use big data in litigation, it is necessary to bring many cases to a successful close.

Wage and Hour at EmployStats

In late 2016, the US Department of Labor announced a final ruling on overtime, which may go into effect later this year and increase the number of workers eligible for overtime payment. Here at EmployStats, our specialized team of Research Associates and Economists is fully capable and ready to handle all your wage & hour needs.

At EmployStats, we analyze FLSA and wage & hour violation claims, including time clock rounding, misclassification, off-the-clock work, and missed meal periods. Our analyses of wage & hour violations typically involve the statistical review of information such as employee time punch records, payroll data, and employee time diary information. Our goal at EmployStats is to communicate effectively with our clients and fully invest in the project at hand, in order to achieve the best outcomes and form long-lasting professional relationships.

Our wage & hour clients include plaintiff and defense attorneys, as well as individual employers across the country. Our wage & hour projects include expert witness trial testimony, expert reports, consultation, and compliance self-audits. Statistical sampling is used to investigate wage & hour violations in some cases as well.

For more information on how EmployStats can help you with your wage & hour needs, please visit our website at www.employstats.com/wage-and-hour.